Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.447585 7.120976 7.893268 8.859252 10.057519 11.527832 13.525172
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 5.893936 6.815466 7.970115 9.580110 11.875736 15.245321 21.116719
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.622314 6.781024 8.361042 10.829486 14.976961 22.788425 44.237857
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 5.047209 6.250042 7.982724 10.914147 16.516170 29.866671 100.591167
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.777647 6.099552 8.132634 11.942205 20.710623 53.088664 NaN
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 4.487181 5.874094 8.128950 12.768152 25.769749 124.255485 NaN
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 4.109953 5.461778 7.735895 12.709159 28.846845 383.506359 NaN
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.754356 5.040201 7.254627 12.313448 30.746539 NaN NaN
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.673544 5.057697 7.587596 14.090592 48.662541 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.707479 5.278119 8.394696 18.012724 153.725614 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.613082 5.257068 8.705978 20.954863 3387.298222 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.461615 5.108407 8.693868 22.808792 NaN NaN NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.238361 4.824043 8.364274 23.381770 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.048791 4.584260 8.100416 24.259292 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.932704 4.478059 8.170971 27.831880 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.719354 4.148517 7.555082 25.523859 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.607015 4.017676 7.477968 27.825725 NaN NaN NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.489744 3.863532 7.300824 29.217649 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.341494 3.629708 6.843238 27.077068 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.198078 3.396078 6.356142 24.275803 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 2.159493 3.383099 6.530686 29.220907 NaN NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 2.166646 3.470686 7.056785 43.984614 NaN NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 2.125181 3.444673 7.208451 56.941670 NaN NaN NaN